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Chelsea v Stoke City, Premier League 2016–17

ChelseaChelsea

Cahill 34'Willian 57', 65'Costa 85'

Final score 4 to 2

Expected goals 1.8 to 0.8

Full time

StokeStoke City

Martins Indi 46'Crouch 64'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 66%, draw 22%, Stoke win 12%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 31. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Chelsea and Stoke
ChelseaStoke
1.80.8
4Goals2
2.10.7