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Stoke City v Manchester United, Premier League 2016–17

StokeStoke City

Mata 19' (OG)

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 0.5 to 2.2

Full time

Man UnitedManchester United

Rooney 90+4'

Win chances: Man United favored. Stoke win 28%, draw 29%, Man United win 43%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 21. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Stoke and Man United
StokeMan United
0.52.2
1Goals1
0.42.5