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Tottenham Hotspur v Middlesbrough, Premier League 2016–17

TottenhamTottenham Hotspur

Kane 58' penalty

Final score 1 to 0

Expected goals 2.0 to 0.5

Full time

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Win chances: Tottenham favored. Tottenham win 69%, draw 22%, Middlesbrough win 9%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Tottenham and Middlesbrough
TottenhamMiddlesbrough
2.00.5
1Goals0
2.40.4