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Watford v Burnley, Premier League 2016–17

WatfordWatford

Deeney 10'Niang 45+2'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 1.4 to 1.5

Full time

BurnleyBurnley

Barnes 78' penalty

Win chances: Watford favored. Watford win 41%, draw 30%, Burnley win 29%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Watford and Burnley
WatfordBurnley
1.41.5
2Goals1
1.31.5