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Manchester United v Burnley, Premier League 2017–18

Man UnitedManchester United

Lingard 53', 90+1'

Final score 2 to 2

Expected goals 1.9 to 0.6

Full time

BurnleyBurnley

Barnes 3'Defour 36'

Win chances: Man United favored. Man United win 67%, draw 22%, Burnley win 11%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 26. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man United and Burnley
Man UnitedBurnley
1.90.6
2Goals2
2.20.5