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West Bromwich Albion v Arsenal, Premier League 2017–18

West BromWest Bromwich Albion

Rodríguez 89' penalty

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 1.7 to 1.3

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

McClean 83' (OG)

Win chances: Arsenal favored. West Brom win 22%, draw 27%, Arsenal win 51%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 31. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, West Brom and Arsenal
West BromArsenal
1.71.3
1Goals1
1.61.1