Arsenal v Cardiff City, Premier League 2018–19
ArsenalArsenal
Aubameyang 66' penaltyLacazette 83'
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 2.3 to 0.9
CardiffCardiff City
Mendez-Laing 90+3'
- Date Tuesday, January 29, 2019
- Premier League 2018–19
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 29. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 73%, draw 17%, Cardiff win 10%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 29. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Cardiff | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.9 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.6 | ||