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Arsenal v Chelsea, Premier League 2018–19

ArsenalArsenal

Lacazette 14'Koscielny 39'

Final score 2 to 0

Expected goals 1.4 to 1.1

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Arsenal win 33%, draw 26%, Chelsea win 41%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 19. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Arsenal and Chelsea
ArsenalChelsea
1.41.1
2Goals0
1.61.1