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Burnley v Brighton & Hove Albion, Premier League 2018–19

BurnleyBurnley

Tarkowski 40'

Final score 1 to 0

Expected goals 1.9 to 1.2

Full time

BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion

Win chances: Brighton favored. Burnley win 32%, draw 31%, Brighton win 37%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 8. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Burnley and Brighton
BurnleyBrighton
1.91.2
1Goals0
1.80.9