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Burnley v Liverpool, Premier League 2018–19

BurnleyBurnley

Cork 54'

Final score 1 to 3

Expected goals 1.1 to 2.5

Full time

LiverpoolLiverpool

Milner 62'Firmino 69'Shaqiri 90+1'

Win chances: Liverpool favored. Burnley win 9%, draw 21%, Liverpool win 70%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 5. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Burnley and Liverpool
BurnleyLiverpool
1.12.5
1Goals3
0.62.2