Burnley v Southampton, Premier League 2018–19
BurnleyBurnley
Barnes 90+4' penalty
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 2.6 to 1.0
SouthamptonSouthampton
Redmond 55'
- Date Saturday, February 2, 2019
- Premier League 2018–19
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 2. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Southampton favored. Burnley win 35%, draw 28%, Southampton win 37%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 2. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Burnley | Southampton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.6 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.0 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.6 | ||