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Cardiff City v Southampton, Premier League 2018–19

CardiffCardiff City

Paterson 74'

Final score 1 to 0

Expected goals 1.5 to 0.9

Full time

SouthamptonSouthampton

Win chances: Southampton favored. Cardiff win 34%, draw 30%, Southampton win 36%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 8. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Cardiff and Southampton
CardiffSouthampton
1.50.9
1Goals0
1.80.9