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Fulham v Chelsea, Premier League 2018–19

FulhamFulham

Chambers 27'

Final score 1 to 2

Expected goals 0.9 to 2.1

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Higuaín 20'Jorginho 31'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Fulham win 17%, draw 23%, Chelsea win 60%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 3. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Fulham and Chelsea
FulhamChelsea
0.92.1
1Goals2
0.62.2