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Leicester City v Brighton & Hove Albion, Premier League 2018–19

LeicesterLeicester City

Gray 10'Vardy 63'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 2.0 to 1.5

Full time

BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion

Propper 66'

Win chances: Leicester favored. Leicester win 55%, draw 26%, Brighton win 19%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 26. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Leicester and Brighton
LeicesterBrighton
2.01.5
2Goals1
1.71.1