Manchester City v Arsenal, Premier League 2018–19
Man CityManchester City
Agüero 1', 44', 61'
Final score 3 to 1
Expected goals 2.0 to 0.4
ArsenalArsenal
Koscielny 11'
- Date Sunday, February 3, 2019
- Premier League 2018–19
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 3. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 71%, draw 17%, Arsenal win 12%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 3. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man City | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.4 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.3 | ||