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Manchester United v Arsenal, Premier League 2018–19

Man UnitedManchester United

Martial 30'Lingard 69'

Final score 2 to 2

Expected goals 0.9 to 1.1

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Mustafi 26'Rojo 68' (OG)

Win chances: Man United favored. Man United win 42%, draw 26%, Arsenal win 32%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 5. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man United and Arsenal
Man UnitedArsenal
0.91.1
2Goals2
1.21.5