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Manchester United v Burnley, Premier League 2018–19

Man UnitedManchester United

Pogba 87' penaltyLindelöf 90+2'

Final score 2 to 2

Expected goals 3.5 to 0.5

Full time

BurnleyBurnley

Barnes 51'Wood 81'

Win chances: Man United favored. Man United win 68%, draw 19%, Burnley win 13%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 29. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man United and Burnley
Man UnitedBurnley
3.50.5
2Goals2
2.80.1