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Newcastle United v Burnley, Premier League 2018–19

NewcastleNewcastle United

Schär 24'Longstaff 38'

Final score 2 to 0

Expected goals 1.2 to 1.9

Full time

BurnleyBurnley

Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 45%, draw 29%, Burnley win 26%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 26. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Newcastle and Burnley
NewcastleBurnley
1.21.9
2Goals0
0.91.9