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Southampton v Crystal Palace, Premier League 2018–19

SouthamptonSouthampton

Ward-Prowse 77'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 0.8 to 1.3

Full time

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

Zaha 41'

Win chances: Southampton favored. Southampton win 39%, draw 28%, Crystal Palace win 33%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 30. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Southampton and Crystal Palace
SouthamptonCrystal Palace
0.81.3
1Goals1
1.01.7