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Watford v Leicester City, Premier League 2018–19

WatfordWatford

Deeney 5'Gray 90+2'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 0.8 to 0.9

Full time

LeicesterLeicester City

Vardy 75'

Win chances: Watford favored. Watford win 40%, draw 28%, Leicester win 32%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 3. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Watford and Leicester
WatfordLeicester
0.80.9
2Goals1
1.31.4