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Arsenal v Chelsea, Premier League 2019–20

ArsenalArsenal

Aubameyang 13'

Final score 1 to 2

Expected goals 0.9 to 1.6

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Jorginho 83'Abraham 87'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Arsenal win 31%, draw 25%, Chelsea win 44%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 29. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Arsenal and Chelsea
ArsenalChelsea
0.91.6
1Goals2
0.91.9