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Arsenal v Liverpool, Premier League 2019–20

ArsenalArsenal

Lacazette 32'Nelson 44'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 0.4 to 2.0

Full time

LiverpoolLiverpool

Mané 20'

Win chances: Liverpool favored. Arsenal win 26%, draw 25%, Liverpool win 49%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jul 15. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Arsenal and Liverpool
ArsenalLiverpool
0.42.0
2Goals1
0.42.4