Arsenal v Watford, Premier League 2019–20
ArsenalArsenal
Aubameyang 5' penalty, 33'Tierney 24'
Final score 3 to 2
Expected goals 2.3 to 2.8
WatfordWatford
Deeney 43' penaltyWelbeck 66'
- Date Sunday, July 26, 2020
- Premier League 2019–20
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jul 26. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 56%, draw 24%, Watford win 20%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jul 26. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Watford | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.8 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.1 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.7 | ||