Aston Villa v Arsenal, Premier League 2019–20
Aston VillaAston Villa
Trézéguet 27'
Final score 1 to 0
Expected goals 0.7 to 0.9
ArsenalArsenal
- Date Tuesday, July 21, 2020
- Premier League 2019–20
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jul 21. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Aston Villa win 28%, draw 25%, Arsenal win 47%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jul 21. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.9 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 1.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.5 | ||