Aston Villa v Manchester City, Premier League 2019–20
Aston VillaAston Villa
El Ghazi 90+1' penalty
Final score 1 to 6
Expected goals 1.2 to 2.4
Man CityManchester City
Mahrez 18', 24'Agüero 28', 57', 81'Jesus 45+1'
- Date Sunday, January 12, 2020
- Premier League 2019–20
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 12. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Aston Villa win 8%, draw 13%, Man City win 79%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 12. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Man City | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.4 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 6 | ||
| 0.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.1 | ||