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Aston Villa v Watford, Premier League 2019–20

Aston VillaAston Villa

Luiz 68'Mings 90+5'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 1.7 to 1.2

Full time

WatfordWatford

Deeney 38'

Win chances: Watford favored. Aston Villa win 36%, draw 24%, Watford win 40%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 21. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Aston Villa and Watford
Aston VillaWatford
1.71.2
2Goals1
1.71.0