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AFC Bournemouth v Arsenal, Premier League 2019–20

BournemouthAFC Bournemouth

Gosling 35'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 1.2 to 1.9

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Aubameyang 63'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Bournemouth win 35%, draw 25%, Arsenal win 40%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 26. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Bournemouth and Arsenal
BournemouthArsenal
1.21.9
1Goals1
0.91.8