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Burnley v Manchester City, Premier League 2019–20

BurnleyBurnley

Brady 89'

Final score 1 to 4

Expected goals 0.4 to 1.5

Full time

Man CityManchester City

Jesus 24', 50'Rodri 68'Mahrez 87'

Win chances: Man City favored. Burnley win 13%, draw 20%, Man City win 67%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 3. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Burnley and Man City
BurnleyMan City
0.41.5
1Goals4
0.52.2