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Chelsea v Aston Villa, Premier League 2019–20

ChelseaChelsea

Abraham 24'Mount 48'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 1.8 to 0.9

Full time

Aston VillaAston Villa

Trézéguet 41'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 65%, draw 20%, Aston Villa win 15%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Chelsea and Aston Villa
ChelseaAston Villa
1.80.9
2Goals1
2.00.8