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Chelsea v Southampton, Premier League 2019–20

ChelseaChelsea

Final score 0 to 2

Expected goals 0.8 to 0.9

Full time

SouthamptonSouthampton

Obafemi 31'Redmond 73'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 64%, draw 20%, Southampton win 16%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 26. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Chelsea and Southampton
ChelseaSouthampton
0.80.9
0Goals2
1.21.5