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Crystal Palace v Arsenal, Premier League 2019–20

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

Ayew 54'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 0.6 to 1.2

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Aubameyang 12'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Crystal Palace win 33%, draw 27%, Arsenal win 40%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 11. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Crystal Palace and Arsenal
Crystal PalaceArsenal
0.61.2
1Goals1
0.91.8