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Manchester United v Aston Villa, Premier League 2019–20

Man UnitedManchester United

Heaton 42' (OG)Lindelöf 64'

Final score 2 to 2

Expected goals 1.6 to 0.9

Full time

Aston VillaAston Villa

Grealish 11'Mings 66'

Win chances: Man United favored. Man United win 61%, draw 21%, Aston Villa win 18%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 1. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man United and Aston Villa
Man UnitedAston Villa
1.60.9
2Goals2
1.90.9