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Arsenal v Manchester City, Premier League 2020–21

ArsenalArsenal

Final score 0 to 1

Expected goals 0.5 to 1.6

Full time

Man CityManchester City

Sterling 2'

Win chances: Man City favored. Arsenal win 15%, draw 23%, Man City win 62%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 21. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Arsenal and Man City
ArsenalMan City
0.51.6
0Goals1
0.62.1