Aston Villa v Chelsea, Premier League 2020–21
Aston VillaAston Villa
Traoré 43'El Ghazi 52' penalty
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 1.2 to 2.4
ChelseaChelsea
Chilwell 70'
- Date Sunday, May 23, 2021
- Premier League 2020–21
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 23. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Aston Villa win 20%, draw 25%, Chelsea win 55%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 23. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Chelsea | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.4 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 0.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.1 | ||