Burnley v Aston Villa, Premier League 2020–21
BurnleyBurnley
Mee 52'McNeil 76'Wood 79'
Final score 3 to 2
Expected goals 0.7 to 1.8
Aston VillaAston Villa
Watkins 14'Grealish 68'
- Date Wednesday, January 27, 2021
- Premier League 2020–21
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 27. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Burnley win 28%, draw 27%, Aston Villa win 45%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 27. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Burnley | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.8 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 0.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.1 | ||