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Burnley v Southampton, Premier League 2020–21

BurnleyBurnley

Final score 0 to 1

Expected goals 0.5 to 0.5

Full time

SouthamptonSouthampton

Ings 5'

Win chances: Burnley favored. Burnley win 39%, draw 26%, Southampton win 35%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 26. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Burnley and Southampton
BurnleySouthampton
0.50.5
0Goals1
1.31.2