Manchester City v Leicester City, Premier League 2020–21
Man CityManchester City
Mahrez 4'Aké 84'
Final score 2 to 5
Expected goals 0.8 to 2.8
LeicesterLeicester City
Vardy 37' penalty, 53', 58' penaltyMaddison 77'Tielemans 88' penalty
- Date Sunday, September 27, 2020
- Premier League 2020–21
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 27. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 71%, draw 17%, Leicester win 12%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 27. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man City | Leicester | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.8 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 5 | ||
| 0.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.5 | ||