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Southampton v Chelsea, Premier League 2020–21

SouthamptonSouthampton

Minamino 33'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 0.7 to 1.3

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Mount 54' penalty

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Southampton win 21%, draw 24%, Chelsea win 55%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 20. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Southampton and Chelsea
SouthamptonChelsea
0.71.3
1Goals1
0.91.8