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Wolverhampton Wanderers v Arsenal, Premier League 2020–21

WolvesWolverhampton Wanderers

Neves 45+5' penaltyMoutinho 49'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 1.6 to 1.0

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Pépé 32'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Wolves win 34%, draw 29%, Arsenal win 37%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 2. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Wolves and Arsenal
WolvesArsenal
1.61.0
2Goals1
1.80.9