Aston Villa v Brentford, Premier League 2022–23
Aston VillaAston Villa
Bailey 2'Ings 7', 14' penaltyWatkins 59'
Final score 4 to 0
Expected goals 2.5 to 1.5
BrentfordBrentford
- Date Sunday, October 23, 2022
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 23. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 38%, draw 28%, Brentford win 34%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 23. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Brentford | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.5 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 2.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.8 | ||