Aston Villa v Liverpool, Premier League 2022–23
Aston VillaAston Villa
Watkins 59'
Final score 1 to 3
Expected goals 1.0 to 1.8
LiverpoolLiverpool
Salah 5'van Dijk 37'Bajcetic 81'
- Date Monday, December 26, 2022
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 26. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Liverpool favored. Aston Villa win 22%, draw 23%, Liverpool win 55%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 26. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Liverpool | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.8 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 0.9 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.9 | ||