Brighton & Hove Albion v Arsenal, Premier League 2022–23
BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion
Mitoma 65'Ferguson 77'
Final score 2 to 4
Expected goals 1.2 to 2.6
ArsenalArsenal
Saka 2'Ødegaard 39'Nketiah 47'Martinelli 71'
- Date Saturday, December 31, 2022
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 31. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Brighton win 33%, draw 27%, Arsenal win 40%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 31. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Brighton | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.6 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 4 | ||
| 0.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.2 | ||