Chelsea v Manchester United, Premier League 2022–23
ChelseaChelsea
Jorginho 87' penalty
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 1.3 to 0.8
Man UnitedManchester United
Casemiro 90+4'
- Date Saturday, October 22, 2022
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 22. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 52%, draw 25%, Man United win 23%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 22. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chelsea | Man United | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.8 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.9 | ||