Manchester City v Arsenal, Premier League 2022–23
Man CityManchester City
De Bruyne 7', 54'Stones 45+1'Haaland 90+5'
Final score 4 to 1
Expected goals 2.1 to 0.7
ArsenalArsenal
Holding 86'
- Date Wednesday, April 26, 2023
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 26. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 64%, draw 19%, Arsenal win 17%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 26. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man City | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.7 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.5 | ||