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Manchester City v Brighton & Hove Albion, Premier League 2022–23

Man CityManchester City

Haaland 22', 43' penaltyDe Bruyne 75'

Final score 3 to 1

Expected goals 1.7 to 0.7

Full time

BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion

Trossard 53'

Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 71%, draw 19%, Brighton win 10%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 22. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man City and Brighton
Man CityBrighton
1.70.7
3Goals1
2.10.7