Manchester City v Newcastle United, Premier League 2022–23
Man CityManchester City
Foden 15'Silva 67'
Final score 2 to 0
Expected goals 1.0 to 0.7
NewcastleNewcastle United
- Date Saturday, March 4, 2023
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 4. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 69%, draw 18%, Newcastle win 13%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man City | Newcastle | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.7 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 1.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.1 | ||