Manchester United v Aston Villa, Premier League 2022–23
Man UnitedManchester United
Fernandes 39'
Final score 1 to 0
Expected goals 1.1 to 0.6
Aston VillaAston Villa
- Date Sunday, April 30, 2023
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 30. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man United favored. Man United win 54%, draw 23%, Aston Villa win 23%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 30. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man United | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.6 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 1.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.9 | ||