Newcastle United v Southampton, Premier League 2022–23
NewcastleNewcastle United
Wilson 54', 81'Walcott 79' (OG)
Final score 3 to 1
Expected goals 3.3 to 1.0
SouthamptonSouthampton
Armstrong 41'
- Date Sunday, April 30, 2023
- Premier League 2022–23
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 30. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 69%, draw 19%, Southampton win 12%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 30. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Newcastle | Southampton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.0 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.3 | ||