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Nottingham Forest v Brighton & Hove Albion, Premier League 2022–23

Nott'm ForestNottingham Forest

Gross 45+3' (OG)Santos 69'Gibbs-White 90+1' penalty

Final score 3 to 1

Expected goals 3.1 to 2.3

Full time

BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion

Buonanotte 38'

Win chances: Brighton favored. Nott'm Forest win 16%, draw 21%, Brighton win 63%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 26. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Nott'm Forest and Brighton
Nott'm ForestBrighton
3.12.3
3Goals1
1.81.0