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Nottingham Forest v Chelsea, Premier League 2022–23

Nott'm ForestNottingham Forest

Aurier 63'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 1.3 to 1.2

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Sterling 16'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Nott'm Forest win 18%, draw 25%, Chelsea win 57%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 1. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Nott'm Forest and Chelsea
Nott'm ForestChelsea
1.31.2
1Goals1
1.41.3